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Monday, November 10, 2008

Longoria and Soto Capture Rookie Honors

Evan Longoria, who helped the Rays to their first playoff appearance and catcher Geovanny Soto of the NL Central champion Cubs have been named the 2008 AL and NL Rookies of the Year.

Longoria was the guy that came with all the hype this year and our pre-season prediction. Alexei Ramirez was an unknown, a Cuban defector not expected to make an impact. Joba Chamberlain, Jacoby Ellsbury, and Clay Buchholz were all hyped up by the media based on the prior year's impact.

Of the rookies not named Longoria, Ramirez made the biggest splash, helping drive the White Sox to the AL West division crown. The 27-yr old finished at .277-21-90 and hit .333 from June 1st thru August 31st. Ramirez was clutch, hitting .398 with runners in scoring position and was versatile in the field, playing 121 games at second base, 16 games at shortstop, 11 games in center field, and 1 at third base.

Joba Chamberlain enjoyed a good season between the bullpen and starting rotation, though he didn't blow everyone away as a starter. Jacoby Ellsbury had a good season as well, stealing 50 bases, but he went through a prolonged slump before finishing at .280. Buchholz was a major disappointment. After throwing a no-hitter last September, Buchholz was hammered over 15 starts to the tune of a 6.75 ERA and some trips to the minor leagues where he finished the season.

But it was the superstar in the making, Longoria, who captured the baseball nation's attention. He hit .272-27-85 in 122 games and made the All-Star team in July. Longoria added 31 doubles, 2 triples, 7 stolen bases, and an .874 OPS. His glove work at third base was also solid.

2008 AL Rookie of the Year Voting
Player, Club 1st 2nd 3rd Points
Evan Longoria, TB 28

140
Alexei Ramirez, CWS
18 5 59
Jacoby Ellsbury, BOS
7 5 26
Mike Aviles, KC
2 3 9
Armando Galarraga, DET

9 9
Joey Devine, OAK
1
3
Denard Span, MIN

3 3
Nick Blackburn, MIN

1 1
Joba Chamberlain, NYY

1 1
Brad Ziegler, OAK

1 1


The Cincinnati Reds' young stud outfielder Jay Bruce and the Cubs Japanese import, and our pre-season prediction, Kusoke Fukodome, both came with even more hype than Soto, and Bruce's Cincy teammates Johnny Cuerto and Homer Bailey were also highly thought of (as it turned out another Red, Joey Votto, had a better year than all of them).

But Soto's impressive rookie season was made even more impressive by the position he plays. In addition to taking his daily swings, he had to call and manage the team's pitchers, including the always volatile Carlos Zambrano. The Cubs starters had a good season and that reflected well on Soto's defensive game.

The 25-yr old hit .285-23-86 in over 500 plate appearances. He added 35 doubles, 2 triples, and an .872 OPS. (His numbers were remarkably similiar to Longoria's). Behind the plate Soto threw out 26.5% of all base stealers and put up a .995 defensive mark.


2008 NL Rookie of the Year Voting
Player, Club 1st 2nd 3rd Points
Geovany Soto, CHC 31 1
158
Joey Votto, CIN 1 21 8 76
Jair Jurrjens, ATL
6 16 34
Edinson Volquez, CIN*
3
9
Jay Bruce, CIN

7 7
Kosuke Fukudome, CHC
1 1 4

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Tuesday, April 01, 2008

2008 Award Predictions

Ah, that time of year again where we can look anywhere from really good to really stupid. Time to predict the award winners in each league.

American League Cy Young

C.C. SabathiaJosh Beckett was last season's winner, beating out C.C. Sabathia Josh Beckett, Fausto Carmona and Chien-Ming Wang among others. Things are a little more wide open now with Johan Santana out of the AL.
The Contenders

Josh Beckett
Fausto Carmona
Erik Bedard
C.C. Sabathia
Chien-Ming Wang
Justin Verlander
John Lackey

and the winner is....Erik Bedard. We went back and forth between Bedard and Verlander, neither of whom was outstanding in their season opener yesterday. But we feel Bedard in a pitcher's ball park will excel.
Our pick: Erik Bedard


American League MVP

Alex Rodriguez
easily grabbed this award with a monster season. Magglio Ordonez would have won it in any other season. There are a lot of contenders for this award, so we're not even going to bother to name all of them. Many people it will be Grady Sizemore, who we think is not quite on par with his hype. But we do agree a centerfielder will win the award.

Our pick: Curtis Granderson


American League Rookie of the Year

Dustin Pedroia,
that little..., grabbed the award last year. Joba Chamberlain, Jacoby Ellsbury, and Clay Bucholz are grabbing most of the attention. But just like the NL's winner last year, we think it's going to be a 3rd Baseman who started the season in the minors.

Our pick: Evan Longoria


American League Manager of the Year

Seattle's John McLaren
is an early favorite as big things are expected of the M's. But the winner will be from a team not expected to do anything at all.

Our pick: Trey Hillman


National League Cy Young

Jake Peavy
won last year's award. We always like Carlos Zambrano as one of the favorites. Then you've got Santana, Chris Young, Brandon Webb, Cole Hamels and others.

But this year we like to, quote John Sterling, "go a back-to-back, and a belly-to-belly".

Our pick: Jake Peavy


National League MVP

We were so close last year. We took Chase Utley and it was his DP partner Jimmy Rollins who won it. Again, too many contenders to mention. The guy we're going with had a rough 2nd half, but we think he'll take it over his teammate on the left side of the infield.

Our pick: Jose Reyes


National League Manager of the Year

Joe Torre
could very well grab this his 1st year in LA, but we're not as impressed with the Dodgers as some. Willie Randolph has the hot seat and a favored team, which makes it difficult to win the award. Our pick is an old favorite.

Our pick: Dusty Baker

National League Rookie of the Year
Jay Bruce
, Homer Bailey, J.R. Towles, Geovany Soto, and Johnny Cueto are among the names being bandied about. But we think this year's winner won't fall prey to the writer bias that hit Hideki Matsui in 2003.

Our pick: Kosuke Fukudome

We can't even think of anyone in the AL right now, but our pick for Comeback Player of the Year in the NL is Pedro Martinez.

So there you have it. We'll probably know by the All-Star Break whether or not we're crazy.

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Monday, November 12, 2007

Pedroia, Braun take ROY Awards

As expected, Dustin Pedroia and Ryan Braun took the AL and NL Rookie of the Year awards. Pedroia won easily, getting 24 of 28 first place votes. Braun edged out Troy Tulowitzki by just 2 points.

AL
Player, Club 1st 2nd 3rd Points
Dustin Pedroia, BOS 24 4 132
Delmon Young, TB 3 12 5 56
Brian Bannister, KC 1 8 7 36
Daisuke Matsuzaka, BOS 2 6 12
Reggie Willits, LAA 2 5 11
Hideki Okajima, BOS 3 3
Josh Fields, CWS 1 1
Joakim Soria, KC 1 1


NL
Player, Club 1st 2nd 3rd Points
Ryan Braun, MIL 17 14 1 128
Troy Tulowitzki, COL 15 17 126
Hunter Pence, HOU 15 15
Chris Young, ARI 10 10
Kyle Kendrick, PHI 1 4 7
Yunel Escobar, ATL 1 1
James Loney, LAD 1 1


Voting courtesy of MLB.com

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Tuesday, March 27, 2007

2007 Award Predictions

Even though I have all 4 teams in the NCAA final four, I will not get cocky. Picking the AL and NL MVP award winners is extremely difficult. But here goes:

American League

MVP: 2006 winner was Twins' 1st Baseman Justin Morneau

The usual names will be bandied about - A-Rod, Big Papi, Vlad, etc. I hate picking a DH, but today's pick is Indians DH Travis Hafner. "Pronk" finished 5th in 2005, 8th in 2006. Hafner's last 3 seasons have been impressive to say the least. His HRs have increased from 28-33-42 and his RBI has been a consistent 109-108-117.
2007 Prediction - Travis Hafner, Cle

Cy Young: 2006 winner was the Twins' Johann Santana

This is an easier choice for me than in the past. There's no reason not to think that Santana, who won in 2004, in addition to last season, won't win it again. He should win the triple crown of pitching (wins, ERA, strikeouts) with relative ease.
2007 Prediction - Johann Santana, Minn

Rookie of the Year: 2006 winner was Tigers' Justin Verlander

Dice-K has the most press. Alex Gordon has the pedigree. But Delmon Young has the bat. Young gave his rep a black eye with his tossed bat into a minor league ump and joining fellow prospects like Elijah Dukes in complaining about their handling by the D-Rays. But this kid can flat out hit. And will.

2007 Prediction - Delmon Young, TB


National League

MVP: 2006 winner was Phillies' 1st Baseman Ryan Howard

Howard should put up big numbers again and could very easily win back-to-back awards. The Mets big 4 of Wright, Reyes, Beltran, and Delgado will contend and of course, the Cards' Albert Pujols is still the man to beat. That all being said, a guy with less publicity in Philly will get the award. Chase Utley has blossomed into one of the premiere hitters in the game. The 28-yr old has average .301-30-103 the last 2 seasons and will benefit from having Howard hitting behind him.

2007 Prediction - Chase Utley, Phi


Cy Young: 2006 winner was DBack's Brandon Webb

The Cards Chris Carpenter won in '05 and finished 3rd last year. No reason to think he won't be in the top 5 again. The D-Train came in 2nd in '05, but was mediocre with a decent Marlins team last year. He'll probably have a bounce back year. Roy Oswalt pitches in a hitter's park, but is solid. The prediction here is the same as it was last year; the Cubbie's Carlos Zambrano. Zambrano finished 3rd in the voting last year and has topped 200 IP 4 straight years. He's also struck out 200+ hitters over the last 2 seasons as he gets ready to pitch for a huge contract extension.

2007 Prediction - Carlos Zambrano, Chi


Rookie of the Year: 2006 winner was Marlin's SS Hanley Ramirez

The Met's Mike Pelfrey, the Reds' HomerBailey, and the Brewers' Ryan Braun bring plenty to the table, but the DBacks Chris Young takes the prize. The Dbacks have a lot of good young talent (Upton, Gonzalez, Drew, etc.), but the centerfielder has power and speed and will produce both. Think the White Sox wish they still had him?

2007 Prediction - Chris Young, AZ

There you have it. For what it's worth.

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